"We seldom get into trouble when we speak softly. It is only when we raise our voices that the sparks fly and tiny molehills become great mountains of contention."
Recently in the news there has been
a lot of talk about the demise of Hostess. I love Hostess products.
When I was in high school I used to buy Ho Ho’s, Twinkies, or
Suzy Q’s daily for lunch. Normally, I would consume a
combination of 2 of the 3 (as well as the lunch prepared by my mom).
And that was in addition to the stash I had in my bedroom for
nighttime snacks. I even had specific techniques for ingesting
these lovely pastries. As my taste buds matured, I began to prefer
(slightly) the Suzy Q’s over the other two.
Naturally, people that know my
preferred eating habits asked me my thoughts about Hostess closing
their doors. I think they were expecting weeping and wailing and
gnashing of teeth. They were a bit surprised about my indifference.
They asked how I could shrug my shoulders when I would never eat a
Twinkie again.
Based on the fact that Hostess
products have landed on Ebay with a premium price, there are many
other people that think these products are going away forever. I
suppose that should be expected because that is what you hear on the
news.
The reporting on Hostess only points
out the glaring reality that people in the news media have absolutely
no idea how business or the economy works.
We live in a free market economy. A
free market economy remains vibrant and healthy through a process
that some call creative destruction. There are businesses entering
and leaving the economy all the time and Hostess is a great example
of how this creative destruction process works.
Hostess was started about 90 years
ago and created some great brands (see above eating preferences) that
are very popular in the United States. The Company’s history
spans that period in the United States when unions were very strong
so it is not surprising that the Hostess manufacturing process was
unionized. Over time the union was able to extract favorable labor
agreements that the company could pay for (through higher prices)
because of the strength of their brands.
Then other entrepreneurs saw
opportunities in the baking business. Little Debbie sold pastries
similar to Hostess at a much lower price but also with lower quality
(at least to my palate). Then other bakeries entered the market at
prices just lower than Hostess but with equal or sometimes even
better taste (try the Mrs. Freshley’s cup cakes –
delicious).
These bakeries could offer similar
products at a lower price because they had a different business
model. Their bakeries were not unionized so they had a lower cost of
labor. This lower cost structure doomed the old business model of
Hostess.
As consumers, we vote for the
winners and the loser in the economy with our dollars. And in the
case of Hostess, we were no longer willing to pay such a large
premium for the brand when other alternatives were available.
This is creative destruction at
work. A new business model is better than the old one so the new
company thrives while the old one goes into bankruptcy. But in
general to consumers, we get the same or better product for less
money with the new company than with the old. With the extra money
we saved, we can purchase other goods in the market creating
increased demand and employment in other industries.
Another part of business that the
media gets wrong is bankruptcy. Companies enter bankruptcy when they
can no longer meet their obligations. Most of the time businesses go
into reorganization bankruptcy courts. This allows them to shed some
obligations, reorganize, and hopefully change their business model so
they can compete again in the market.
This is what was so distressing
about the auto bailout by the government. They gave the companies a
lot of money so they could do a little reorganizing and meet their
obligations but the rigors of going through bankruptcy court was not
forced on the companies. Their basic business models did not change.
Anyone think that a failed business model is going to suddenly
succeed in the future? (Those Volts are everywhere aren’t
they?)
Hostess did not go into
reorganization, they when into liquidation. This means that all
their assets will be sold, their creditors paid and then whatever is
remaining will go to the owners. The biggest assets Hostess has are
those brands. They are very very valuable.
Why am I indifferent about Hostess
being liquidated? Those brands will be sold to someone who will
continue making Hostess pastries but at lower cost and possibly lower
price. That’s right, you may be able to eat the flower, sugar,
and fat laden products for less than you have in the past. I am
thrilled.
As a consumer, you have to love
creative destruction.
Adam Smith is obviously not the actual name of the author of this column. The real author has
worked for two Fortune 500 companies, one privately held company, and a public accounting
firm. His undergraduate degree was in accounting, and he earned an MBA for his graduate
degree. He also has completed coursework for a PhD. in finance. He continues to be employed
by one of the Fortune 500 companies.
The author grew up in the Washington D.C. area but also lived for several years in Arizona. He
currently resides with his family on the East Coast.
The author has held various callings in The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints.